Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 9.409090 10.762910 12.255710 14.025989 16.070862 18.362051 21.128506
2025-09-14 7.619912 9.385703 11.490405 14.192041 17.579706 21.702399 27.123430
2025-09-21 6.484666 8.417223 10.851833 14.159703 18.561293 24.250642 32.216636
2025-09-28 5.630546 7.625114 10.253300 13.993880 19.220192 26.320808 36.797018
2025-10-05 5.189920 7.295565 10.182280 14.463597 20.711555 29.588237 43.318365
2025-10-12 4.802206 6.977901 10.067735 14.822316 22.037753 32.711223 49.944419
2025-10-19 4.520893 6.771657 10.073369 15.329746 23.601229 36.305407 57.657962
2025-10-26 4.057650 6.241273 9.536710 14.942408 23.725608 37.672720 61.968326
2025-11-02 3.704887 5.842124 9.154610 14.743548 24.103466 39.443609 67.092775
2025-11-09 3.406759 5.498568 8.822676 14.581999 24.506963 41.267887 72.474718
2025-11-16 3.138496 5.177345 8.494188 14.386318 24.818126 42.942496 77.746917
2025-11-23 2.885255 4.857793 8.138087 14.103811 24.938381 44.275109 82.513400
2025-11-30 2.800450 4.819987 8.259132 14.674986 26.654038 48.668739 93.623447
2025-12-07 2.656630 4.666573 8.165532 14.849272 27.654758 51.841944 102.745437
2025-12-14 2.494992 4.466918 7.971144 14.815338 28.250808 54.293148 110.690794
2025-12-21 2.328896 4.244969 7.716702 14.641336 28.551412 56.184992 117.683314
2025-12-28 2.267033 4.210659 7.804890 15.134237 30.219862 60.979792 131.449863
2026-01-04 2.193970 4.148611 7.834234 15.510694 31.683755 65.497802 145.163912
2026-01-11 2.143904 4.126405 7.937300 16.043263 33.522631 70.993827 161.787751
2026-01-18 1.991485 3.890784 7.601682 15.636731 33.308394 72.007509 168.050731
2026-01-25 1.872810 3.713839 7.369791 15.428028 33.504497 73.946208 176.766618
2026-02-01 1.767421 3.556086 7.164782 15.258490 33.769604 76.063262 186.180109
2026-02-08 1.666559 3.400327 6.952093 15.053140 33.931670 77.953264 195.252519